We continued our strong form last weekend with another few wins, including my Best Bet. We haven’t been on such a consistent run in a while and I am feeling confident we can keep that going here. Let’s get stuck right in.
Track Report: Randwick is currently rated a Soft 5, but with the drying conditions I can see it as a Good 4 by the end of the day. The rail is out six metres for the entire circuit, which means the leaders could be in for a strong day, but I can see backmarkers getting a good chance as well.
Race 1 – 1100M Midway (Bm72)
Oakfield Duke seems a touch overs considering the form that surrounds him. Runs behind Garrison and Essonne reads really well right now considering their strong form of late. He is usually sharp enough to make an impact first up and this is his ideal distance. Each way for me.
Fielding is the favourite and should be respected just because Zac Lloyd is on board. He returns from Suspension and it honestly wouldn’t shock me if he got right back to his winning ways. Let’s see if Lloyd can survive a Saturday without getting suspended.
Super Bright just missed last start at the Midweek level and now makes the jump back up to Saturday grade. The form behind Crafty Eagle is a positive. Should be running well.
Broken Arrows rounds out selections as he is always there or thereabouts.
Selections: 2-1-9-3
Suggested Bet: Oakfield Duke Each Way
Race 2 – 1400M Tab Highway Hcp (C2)
Titration is a horse I’ve been on a couple of times and he has let me down. However, with Lloyd going on board and the fact that not much speed other than the favourite is drawn under him, I think he can bounce back here. He should be able to sit right behind Miss Thatcher and try and run past her in the final stages.
As I mentioned, Miss Hellfire should get a soft lead from the inside barrier and if the rest of the field isn’t careful, she could give them windburn. Coming off a win against a horse that used to go around in this sort of grade so she can clearly compete at this sort of level. Is 1400 a bridge too far? We find out for sure here.
Scopics is another that should find his way up on the speed and with an in form Reece Jones on board and win would be far from a surprise. Lightly raced, 1/1 2nd up and does his best work in the dry.
Chase My Crown rounds out selections as she has been building to a win and can find it here.
Selections: 17-8-7-3
Suggested Bet: Titration Each Way
Race 3 – 2600M Acy Stayer’s Cup (Bm90)
Wahine Toa will do me. Carries absolutely no weight, up in distance, fitter and seems to be in for a very good prep. I’m not sure about the price, considering he started $61 in a lower grade last start, but it was such a strong run that screamed back me next start and that’s what I am going to do.
Strawberry Rock is a horse I have a lot of time for. Yet to miss the quinella in the dry and with the rise in distance every start this prep he is really starting to find his groove. Comes off a decent win at Sandown as well. Should run strongly.
The Mediterranean is a decent horse that should put in a decent effort here. However, he has to carry an absolute STACK of weight here. 10 more kilos than the field favourite. The run behind Al Aabir was encouraging without super threatening and this is for sure an easier field. Can win.
Oz Legend rounds out selections after a promising last start win and I feel there’s plenty of upside for him.
Selections: 7-5-1-6
Suggested Bet: Wahine Toa Win
Race 4 – 1300M Vinery Stallions (Bm72)
Contemporary has to be the one to beat here. Has been beaten by less than a length by Yoshino, Kipsbay and Devil’s Throat in his last few starts and that is A-grade form to have in Benchmark company. He’ll jump and settle towards the rear before trying to launch late in the final stages. He has a strong turn of foot and he should be getting the job done here.
Miss Hellfire goes next. A couple of starts ago she won strongly at Rosehill before backing up a couple of weeks later and narrowly going down to Winning Verse. She should grab the tail of the pace and try and run past them in the straight, she certainly has the ability to do so.
Step Aside is a strong knockout chance here. He has been rising through the grades quite rapidly in the midweek class. But he now has to play with the big boys and can he handle it? I think so. He has won with plenty left in the tank in my mind and can measure up here.
Hollywood Hero is a horse I have a lot of time for. He raced at Group 1 level last time out and now he drops back to the Benchmark 72 level, should put in a decent run.
Selections: 1-2-4-6
Suggested Bet: Contemporary Win
Race 5 – 1600M Bivouac @ Darley (Bm72)
Very interested in seeing Aristonous go around here. French import for the Neasham camp that stamped his credibility with authority when winning first up at Newcastle. Think he has the potential to be winning some listed races in the future so he will do me at odds.
Fuller couldn’t quite muster the energy to get over the line as a winner last start, but that was in a sit-and-sprint type temp that didn’t really suit him. Should have a stronger tempo to trail off the pace this time in and can use that to slingshot him through for a win.
African Daisy comes out of the same race as Fuller and can definitely come out with a win here with a little improvement. Just missed last time out due to similar reasons as Fuller now that I think about it. Can go one better here.
Intuitu rounds out the selections as the wildcard import.
Selections: 1-8-4-3
Suggested Bet: Aristonous Each Way
Race 6 – 1800M Racing And Sports (Bm78)
God, I felt silly when I jumped off Ita for the first time ever last start when she absolutely bolted in at big odds. Doesn’t like this distance and has to carry an absolute truckload of weight, all signs point to no, but she’s so honest that I can’t stay away here.
Pharoah’s Reign is the one I like to turn the tables on Ita purely with the fact that Pharoah’s Reign thrives at this distance which should help in bridging that 3 length gap that was between them last start. He will strip fitter from that as well, he’ll go well.
Queenmaker is flying, but at midweek grade, so I am unsure about the jump to Saturday and remaining such a strong favourite. But she drops back from Open class to Mares grade which would help. She’ll jump and go straight to the front and be hard to hold out if she has a commanding lead going around the bend.
Darlington County rounds out selections.
Selections: 1-3-4-10
Suggested Bet: Ita Each Way
Race 7 – 1800M Hitotsu New To Arrowfield-Bm88
Bazooka for me. He needs a few scratchings to actually get into the race but if he does I think he will be ultra-competitive. Last start he was only finishing a length off of Democracy Manifest who would absolutely smash this lot. Gets a rise in distance here and will be strong late.
Super Strike comes out of the same race as Bazooka and will tail the field before crossing heels, swinging wide and trying to give them windburn down the straight. Can he do it? I can’t see why not.
Brutality is another one here that comes from the exact same race, can you tell I like this form line? Third to Zoumon a start before that as well, so he has certainly got great form to go off. Can get a win at odds.
Bold Mac rounds out selections as favourite.
Selections: 15-4-1-2
Suggested Bet: Bazooka Each Way
Race 8 – 1400M Drinkwise Civic Stakes
Longvillers is a horse I am keen to follow throughout its career. I feel this distance might be a little too sharp for him, but if Waller has gotten him fit enough he can definitely win here. Waller is great at getting his European imports to be putting in their best efforts in the 2nd prep in the country. I think he can certainly find his way into the money.
Cisco Bay is one that continues to surprise and can do it again here. Does his best work at this distance, at this track and he should be rock-hard fit and ready to peak 4th up. Robbie Dolan knows how to get the best out of him and he can do the same here.
Art Cadeau one of my favourite horses of all time, yes, I know how that sounds, but I fell in love early and his Country Championships/Kozi double run was fantastic. He hasn’t been the same since making that jump in class but he is super honest and should have a decent crack.
Waihaha Fallas is coming close to D Day. I would be on if he wasn’t such a money-muncher. His best smashes this field, but can he really ever bring his best these days?
Selections: 9-6-4-12
Suggested Bet: Longvillers Each Way
Race 9 – 1100M Furphy (Bm78)
Iowna Merc just gets the job done here. Jumped off to get on Kibou last start and this horse was able to guts a win over him and he is Group quality. Amy McLucas goes on to get the weight off and with a similar effort he could make a mess of this field. I think he is the good thing of the card.
Lady Brook only found herself just over a length behind a very talented type in Passeggiata last start and was carrying 3 more kilos. I think she is well placed here and I struggle to see why she is over $30 in the market. She should stalk the leader and be strong late.
Narito also found himself a length off of Passeggiata last prep and that can certainly take him a long way.
Astero rounds out selections.
Selections: 2-12-18-1
Suggested Bet: Iowna Merc (BEST BET)
Race 10 – 1400M The Agency Real Estate (Bm78)
Big Yoshino fan and with Lloyd on board he can get another win here. The only issue – the draw. 17th barrier will prove very sticky and he might burn a bit of energy getting up on the pace but if Lloyd is proactive enough to get him settled with cover he can be the strongest late and get the job done.
Stonecoat is a child of Pierro and I am quite a fan of them, they all end up doing something good, whether that be win Group 1’s or just be consistent Benchmark types. Stonecoat could honestly be either considering his untapped potential. Better at the mile, especially considering he is a Morphettville Guineas winner, but with a strong ride and a soft lead he can get the win here.
Too Much Caviar will put a decent run in I feel, despite this being WAY short of his best distance. But with a drying track and a fondness for running first up, he can certainly play a role.
Green Shadows is the favourite of the field and he is a pretty unlucky type. Probably should have more wins under his belt as he is constantly coming 2nd, perhaps this is his day to win.
Selections: 8-12-7-17
Suggested Bet: Yoshino Each Way
Top Selections For The Card
Race 1: Oakfield Duke
Race 2: Titration
Race 3: Wahine Toa
Race 4: Contemporary
Race 5: Aristonous
Race 6: Ita
Race 7: Bazooka
Race 8: Longvillers
Race 9: Iowna Merc (BEST BET)
Race 10: Yoshino
Quaddie
Race 7: 1,2,4,14,15
Race 8: 6,9,12,13,18
Race 9: 2
Race 10: 7,8,9,12,17
$50 gets you 40%
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