You know what the say, if you’re winning early, you aren’t winning late and that is exactly what happened last week. Crushed the first half of the card and then the rails fell off a little bit there in the back half. But you can’t complain with a handful of wins. Let’s keep it going this week!
Track Report: Track should be bone dry and with the rail out six metres from the 900m-Winning Post; Out five metres for the remainder, which is where Rosehill really starts to trend towards those horses who are forward in the run. Watch the bias throughout the day.
Race 1 – 1300M Midway (Bm72)
Peak is a solid Midway competitor that often finds himself in the thick of things in this grade. Almost got the choccies last start in a race where the tempo didn’t really suit anyways. Should be a bit more speed in this one to cart him into it and is at a solid price as well, happy to go each way.
Field Wiri has been swooping her heart out these last few starts and just hasn’t managed to nab them late. Gets 100 more metres here to stretch out and try have a lunge at them late. Marquand on board, who is in top form and should give it every chance.
Black Duke a solid chance, as always. The uncatchable horse I like to call him and he can join the long list of others who have that tag as well. Will sit amongst the pack and show his hand late if at all.
Liberty Sun has drawn horribly, but has the speed to get over towards the leading pack if he jumps clean. A must for exotics at that price I reckon.
Selections: 13-18-3-8
Suggested Bet: Peak Each Way
Race 2 – 2000M James Squire Neville Sellwood Stakes
Serpentine picks himself really. Has class over this field, will roll forward and be the one they have to chase down. At his pet distance and in his pet conditions with the rail out quite a bit, he should be getting the job done and can do it comfortably if he brings his best.
Zeyrek the only real danger you would think here, and the market seems to think that as well, as they have put him up as favourite. He is one of those horses that loves to pop his head up in races such as this and considering he has form behind Via Sistina, he is the one danger to Serpentine in my mind.
Little Mix and Normandy Bridge are the ones I can entertain to round out the exotics.
Selections: 2-1-10-4
Suggested Bet: Serpentine Win (BEST BET)
Race 3 – 1400M Hyland Race Colours Baillieu
I will take Anode here. You would think the form alone makes him the bet here. But as always, 2YO’s are very unpredictable, so tread lightly. He split Dublin Down and Coleman last start, both of which finished 11th and an incredible narrow 2nd respectively. The draw is tricky, but he will have the speed to overcome that. I am surprised he isn’t favourite.
Linebacker is the favourite and you can see why on face value. Won by an impressive 4 lengths on debut and then proceeded to put in an impressive 3.3 length trial victory. He draws to get an easy lead and can 100% sustain it, especially if his opponents fail to put much pressure on. Just can’t entertain the price, and as I have said, Anode has the classier form.
Silmarillion comes out of a narrow loss in the Riesling Stakes, a race that is almost always a strong form race to go off with the 2YO’s, so I am certainly respecting that. JMac sticking shows some confidence and the jump in distance should only help you would think.
Parkour to round out selections. Rand some nice sectionals behind Storm Boy and ran on fairly enough in the Todman to warrant some respect here.
Selections: 1-6-4-3
Suggested Bet: Anode Win
Race 4 – 2000M Toyota Forklifts Tulloch Stakes
Wymark just has to be the play here. He has been rising through the ranks with ease with the Derby in mind and has been set for this race specifically in order to get his ranking to a point where he can race in the big one next week. He gets better with every run and every step up in grade, he will absolutely eat up 2000m, maps to get the box seat behind the leaders and go wooshka past them in the final moments
Kintyre and Saltcoats were the ones that closed off strongly in the Phar Lap Stakes behind Zardozi, who, is an extremely strong chance in a G1 Vinery later on in the day, so you have to respect them here for sure.
Tanhauser can have the same said about him, throw in some form around the Derby favourite in Riff Rocket and he commands a spot in the selections. However, I am pretty confident the favourite wins.
Selections: 3-2-5-1
Suggested Bet: Wymark Win
Race 5 – 1500M Canadian Club Emancipation Stakes
I want to be on Vienna Princess. The Millie Fox Stakes she came 4th in has since produced Lekvarte a Group 3 win, lady Laguna a group 1 win and Zougotcha a Coolmore Classic Win. So the form is strong on paper. Vienna Princess did indeed run a fairly average race in the Coolmore but she hates wet tracks, something she shouldn’t be getting here, so I think she can bounce back in a big way.
Hinged, what do we do with Hinged? God she has had a rollercoaster career and I am surprised they haven’t just sent her to breed at this point, because she has the biggest monkey on the back you will ever see. She just continually drops in class looking for easy kills and she just can’t manage to get that kill. Finds another winnable race here, I no longer trust her, but wouldn’t blame you if you still do and have a punt on her. Her best smashes these.
Makarena has been performing very solidly in some strong company as of late. Led in the Surround Stakes and was gunned down late and then closed off well in the Phar Lap and has that Zardozi form. Draws to get the gun run and might just be able to hold on this time.
Olentia should have been winning last start. Perhaps she was just too unfit when 5 weeks between runs. On the week back up, and is well placed, weights and barrier wise. Can bounce back.
Selections: 6-2-13-5
Suggested Bet: Vienna Princess Each Way
Race 6 – 1200M Egroup Security Star Kingdom Stakes
I want to be with Coal Crusher here. I know he doesn’t have the class of some of these other horses, but boy he maps brilliantly for this one. He might be in that 10th barrier, but there isn’t alot of speed in the race so he should end up either in front or with a perfect trail right behind the leaders. He is uber consistent, only finishing out of the top 4 once in his last 7 starts, all of which have been in strong company. I think he is certainly up to the task
Hawaii Five Oh comes here with just about the best form you could ask for, considering he finished last prep with a 2 length loss in an Everest and then a 1.6 length loss in a Golden Eagle, so he is by far and away the class horse of the field. His trials have been so so, but he usually runs like a bomb when fresh and maps well here to get the box seat for a win.
Zou Tiger is a super classy horse but boy his prep has just been strange. Hasn’t had a run in 2 months after 3 runs really close together in January, and he has had just the 1 tick over trial. Could find himself underdone, but his best can certainly win.
Shinzo is a false favourite in my opinion. I think he’ll be retired before April is out and he is a place chance at best here. An exotic filler selection.
Selections: 2-1-7-4
Suggested Bet: Coal Crusher Each Way
Race 7 – 2000M G1 Vinery Stud Stakes
Is this a 2-horse race? I say yes. But which one am I on?
Zardozi has to be the play for me. She has been kind to me in the past and she has been perfectly built up for this race. She gets better the further she goes and is ready to peak here. One of the world’s best jockeys on board, I think when she really starts to motor she can take it to the short favourite.
However, Orchestral will be INCREDIBLY hard to beat and if she was at a better price, I would be all over her. She has beat up on everybody and anybody that came her way in NZ and now comes to show the Aussie girls how it is done, as is common in this race. JMac on board, the camp is supremely confident, could just gap them.
Tutta La Vitta and Kimochi are the only other horses I could possibly entertain.
Selections: 1-2-5-3
Suggested Bet: Zardozi Win
Race 8 – 2400M G1 Tancred Stakes
Post Impressionist. Never doubt Marquand and Haggas. Dominant last week and could be dominant again here before going to the Sydney Cup and once more being dominant. The only thing that beats him is the week back up I feel.
Buckaroo is the wildcard here. Didn’t expect to see him entered in this one, but if he handles the week back up, he is the one massive danger to the favourite in my mind. He has the Via Sistina form, finishing just over a length off the boom mare and looked great late. But he needs to be able to handle the back up and the distance.
Ashrun 100% needs to be watched with a close eye here. The Melbourne Cup form has been THE form this year surprisingly for stayers with a big chunk of them coming out and running blinders. He put in a phenomenal performance in the Pakenham Cup and if he sustains that effort, he can upset them here.
Bois D’Argent is an exotics must in my opinion. He has been in career best form these last couple of preps and is always capable of finding his way into the money.
Selections: 5-1-3-8
Suggested Bet: Post Impressionist Win
Race 9 – 1500M Racing And Sports Doncaster Prelude
Very open race, which has me looking for Value. Coin Toss looks like a worthy whack at the stumps. The Singaporean horse that was purchased for the Golden Eagle and he ran solidly without ever threatening to win, but 3.5 lengths off the Doncaster favourite in Obamburumai is not terrible form in the slightest. Killed his opposition at Canberra, gets down in the weights and is drawn well.
Another Wil is obviously a horse that needs to be respected and will be very hard to beat if he doesn’t manage to get stuck in traffic. Been smashing his competition down in Melbourne in weaker company, but has done it with an arrogance that suggests he will thrive in open class. Well weighted and should be in the finish.
Amor Victorious could steal this one with pure pace. Doesn’t have the class of some of these, but if he pushes forward strongly enough and manages to get a quick sectional off, he can easily find his way into the finish.
Welwal has drawn absolutely terribly, but has the ability to be running well here nonetheless in my opinion. Genuine potential to find his way into the money here.
Selections: 12-17-16-8
Suggested Bet: Coin Toss Each Way
Race 10 – 1400M Hkjc World Pool (Bm88)
Back to boring Cashy and taking the favourite in the last. I am just a big Gringotts man. Always on this horse and convinced he is destined for better things than Benchmark racing, but either way, I feel he is better than this crew and I am happy taking him on.
Iknowastar went on an absolute tear through the Spring and the weight tag here is justified, as he should be in races stronger than this. Well drawn, should push towards the front and be hard to run down. I would think he will be vulnerable come the late stages when the weight and lack of fitness starts to get to him.
Razors has some very solid form behind a horse named Winchat, who would absolutely walk in backwards here. Never missed the placings at this distance and should find himself on the tail of a solid pace in transit.
Willaidow is in career best form here and is well placed to be running strongly here and continue that form. Panya has stuck the whole prep, which I appreciate, I think he can potentially steal this one.
Selections: 8-3-13-15
Suggested Bet: Gringotts Win
Top Selections For The Card
Race 1: Peak
Race 2: Serpentine (BEST BET)
Race 3: Anode
Race 4: Wymark
Race 5: Vienna Princess
Race 6: Coal Crusher
Race 7: Zardozi
Race 8: Post Impressionist
Race 9: Coin Toss
Race 10: Gringotts
Quaddie
Race 7: 1,2
Race 8: 1,5
Race 9: 8,10,12,16,17,20,22
Race 10: 3,8,13,15
$50 gets you 44%
SET A DEPOSIT LIMIT. THINK ABOUT WHAT YOU COULD BE BUYING INSTEAD.